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Forecasters split on midterms; one-party sweep seen as likeliest outcome

Analysts project Democrats are favored for the U.S. House and Republicans for the Senate this November, yet many forecasters say a single-party sweep of Congress is the most likely outcome.

Published Jul 20, 2026, 6:55 PM EDT | WFMZZ

Forecasters say Democrats are favored to take control of the U.S. House in November while Republicans are favored to hold the Senate. Despite those split advantages, many analysts conclude the likeliest overall outcome is that one party will sweep full control of Congress.